“Hammering nails with a saw”: on investment goals and choosing the right tools

There are instruments in the market designed to generate passive income. There are instruments for preserving capital, and others for growing it. Each of them has its place — but they serve very different purposes. You can hammer nails with a saw, of course, but it’s probably better to use it for cutting. When capital is not structured, there is no system that connects different assets into a coherent whole. As a result, different objectives — preservation, growth, and income — start to compete with each other. I describe what such a system looks like in practice here . ...

Non-obvious markets: Vietnam on its way to global indexes

The best stories in the market are rarely accompanied by bold headlines with tickers and daily coverage on TV. More often, they are “footnotes on the back pages.” Today, I’d like to talk about one such footnote. Last year, Vietnam’s economy grew by around 7%. The target is 8% and above. The population exceeds 100 million people, nearly 70% of whom are of working age. The country exports close to $400 billion worth of goods annually and has maintained a trade surplus for nine consecutive years. ...

The long cycle: how the healthcare economy is changing

It’s interesting to observe how the market underestimates and overestimates the future at the same time. Most of the attention today is focused on technologies with immediate economic impact. That’s understandable: in a world where global growth remains subdued and uncertainty hasn’t gone anywhere, investors gravitate toward what can be measured here and now. At the same time, another layer of change is unfolding in parallel. Less visible, but potentially more fundamental. ...

Kolobok of the market: the tale of the sector that was not eaten

Once upon a time, there were markets. Big, complex, noisy ones. And among them lived one simple but sturdy sector – not flashy, not hyped, but hardworking. It wasn’t built from fairy tales, but from steel and concrete, from engines and airplanes, from trains, factories, and roads. It was mixed with orders, contracts, and long cycles, tempered by economic growth, and cooled on the windowsill of investor expectations. It sat there for a while… and then it rolled on. ...

Were you expecting a drop? The market wasn’t.

Here you go – the market’s logic. Saturday. Another war. This time in the Middle East. Regular investors: – Oh my God… I knew I should’ve sold everything on Friday! Monday’s going to be a bloodbath! “Rational” investors: – Right. Everything’s about to crash. Perfect. I’ll buy the dip. Non-investors: – Serves them right, those stock market speculators! All these games only last so long. Good thing I own real estate. ...

Yes, you can “draw” returns in Excel. But why would you? An honest portfolio review.

There’s a problem with verifying investment reports like mine, they say. After all, you can “draw” whatever you like in Excel. Sure, you can. But why would you? If you’re investing your own money – as I do – you probably want to measure how effective your activity really is, to understand whether it makes sense at all… or whether you’d be better off just buying an ETF. At least you should want that. It’s your capital. ...